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Alex Wickham: Andy Burnham and John Healey...

EXCLUSIVE: Andy Burnham and John Healey have been told by the Treasury that the UK economy will barely grow next year if the Strait of Hormuz remains badly disrupted until the end of 2026 The PM and chancellor have been presented with Treasury modelling that sees UK GDP growth at just 0.3% in 2027 if the strait remains blocked this year. The warning complicates the first 18 months of Burnham’s premiership and Healey’s preparations for the budget In a reasonable worst-case scenario modelled by the Treasury, the strait is seen remaining effectively closed for five more months, with no permanent peace deal between the US and Iran until the new year In that scenario, GDP growth for 2026 is seen at 0.9%, below the 1.1% forecast by the OBR in March. But with the impacts taking time to fully filter through, GDP growth for 2027 is then seen at just 0.3%, a sharp downgrade on the 1.6% forecast by the OBR CPI inflation is seen peaking at 4.3% in the first quarter of 2027 in this scenario. It would have fallen to the 2% target if the war hadn’t happened. A further spike in the oil price could raise concerns about financial stability in a worst-case outcome, the Treasury assessments warned They have been shared with Burnham and Healey ahead of the budget on Oct. 28, setting out the economic headwinds that will determine this government’s fortunes If the economy effectively flatlines next year, it would leave Burnham with a battle to show Britons he has materially improved their lives in his first 18 months in power. The warnings also further complicate what is already a challenging budget for Healey. Not only must he find money to fulfil Burnham’s ambitions for more spending, he now also has to factor in a potential growth downgrade and higher inflation While Treasury officials do not necessarily expect the worst-case scenario to happen, they see it as a reasonably likely outcome. Officials calculate that while the future of the conflict is highly uncertain, it is likely that it continues to flare-up in the months ahead, severely disrupting commercial traffic through the strait

Liz Webster: Britain needs a public inquiry...

🆘 Britain needs a public inquiry into foreign interference in our democracy. Not an inquiry designed to overturn Brexit or prove a predetermined theory. An inquiry that follows the evidence wherever it leads. Who funded whom? Who had access to whom? Who ultimately owned the money? What influence operations took place? What did our intelligence services and governments know? And why did Britain allow itself to become a haven for kleptocratic wealth? If there was no material foreign interference, an inquiry can establish that. If there was, the British public has a right to know. Democracy cannot mean “take back control” while refusing to establish who was trying to exert control over us.

Pouria Zeraati: Negotiation and agreement...

Negotiation and agreement? :)) Look: Freshly released images from Trump's trip to Turkey to attend the NATO summit, showing how the Secret Service thwarted the Islamic Republic's assassination plot against Trump. Without the journalists realizing, they took Trump out of "Air Force One" in an airport food truck and then boarded him on a C-32A plane. Practically everyone thought Trump was still on his usual Air Force One. After landing in Britain, he secretly switched planes again and went from the C-32A to Air Force One.

Liz Webster: This is profoundly alarming...

This is profoundly alarming! Transparency doesn’t mean “trust us, we’ve checked ourselves.” It means giving the public, journalists and civil society enough information to check for themselves. At a time when trust in politics is already dangerously low, Parliament should be increasing scrutiny of money, interests and influence not making scrutiny harder. Democracy isn’t just the right to vote for the people who exercise power. It’s the right to see who is influencing them once they have it. Accountability that can only be performed by the person being held accountable isn’t accountability.

David Icke: This is James Naish @jameswnaish...

This is James Naish @jameswnaish , the Nottinghamshire Labour MP who is so wet behind the ears that he needs swimming lessons. He's now trying to get me banned from speaking at the Nottingham Arena. This is the same man who supports on his X page the statement: 'No one should spend time in prison for defending democracy.' However, his version of 'democracy' clearly does not include freedom of speech. He says: 'The planned appearance of David Icke in Nottingham next year has been raised with me by local student groups and during recent constituency surgeries, so I wrote to the Chief Executive of the Motorpoint Arena about this at the end of last week. As the Council Leader has already said publicly, "At a time when Jewish communities are facing rising levels of hate speech and abuse nationally, it is vitally important that antisemitism is called out clearly and unequivocally wherever it appears."' https://facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=122292164390242179& id=61557265378714&mibextid=wwXIfr& rdid=mju1hDTrxErHaO6x When Mr Naish gets up from his knees and ‘local student groups’ stop their pathetic virtue-signalling they might produce the evidence of ‘antisemitism’ they throw around like confetti. The Dutch government has banned me from around 30 European countries in the Shenghen border group since 2022 after I was asked to speak (by a Jewish man) at a PEACE rally in Amsterdam. This was on the grounds of ‘antisemitism’ initially, but when we challenged the ban in Dutch courts they so monumentally failed to justify the claim that they changed their reason to ‘he’s a threat to democracy’. Oh, but the lying Dutch government is not. I have not been publicly condemning Jewish people as a group decade after decade – I have been calling out the evil and psychopathic treatment of Palestinians by the ISRAELI GOVERNMENT. I have also been pointing out that ‘antisemitism’ literally means anti-Arab given that ‘semitic’ refers to a group of languages overwhelmingly dominated by Arabic languages. Ironic but true and while I left school at 15 the said ‘local student groups’ at universities don’t appear to know. The Labour Party has previous on this with Labour protests outside my events over something I am NOT saying and now irony of ironies those very Labour ‘activists’ condemn the Israel government for what has happened to Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank since October 7th – an attack the government blatantly ALLOWED to happen. God save us from religion and politicians. There is an even bigger irony behind the intervention of Mr Wet-Behind-The Ears which will become clear in the near ‘future’. I am laughing already. Maybe people might ask why I am subject to so much establishment hostility, shadow banning and suppression when I am saying we must wake up to the fact that, ultimately, we are all one consciousness entrapped in the illusion of separateness while the Dutch government has allowed performances by 'Ye' (Kanye West of 'Heil Hitler' fame) and 'Bob Vylan’ ('death, death to the IDF') to go ahead. They might also ask why 'alternatives' like Tucker Carlson and Joe Rogan have year after year refused to interview me. You never know - you might find the same answer in both cases.

Carl Benjamin: I've seen this clip many times...

I've seen this clip many times, now, and Peter Hitchens' lucidity and sincerity never ceases to resonate. He is the one sane man in a madhouse of liberals, trying desperately to get them to understand that our problems are self-made and the system we have created is destroying something not only precious but irreplaceable. Naturally, nobody understood him, and so he is not so much a posh Nostradamus but instead an English Cassandra, doing everything to raise the alarm but forever cursed to cast his pearls before swine. One can feel the desperation in his presentation. When they accuse him of, in fact, hating Britain it becomes clear that they have absolutely no idea what he's talking about. Tragic, frankly.
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