Color Scheme
Pouria Zeraati
21, May #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: The vibe of Trump's, Rubio's, and...

A note: The vibe of Trump's, Rubio's, and even Vance's statements differs from the news that the media, especially Arab media, are trying to convey. On the American side, nothing is final. In Israel, the atmosphere is that the operation hasn't been canceled. In Tehran, still count on the clerics' bullshit. Mojtaba won't agree to the uranium withdrawal. Sensitive days lie ahead…
Pouria Zeraati: The vibe of Trump's, Rubio's, and...
https://x.com/pouriazeraati/status/2057556146756403514?s=20
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Pouria Zeraati
03, June #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Trump said that the regime's enriched…

Important/ Trump said that the regime's enriched uranium must be transferred to America, and this will happen soon. A few days ago, he said that in exchange for this, there will be no concessions on sanctions. Mujtaba and the IRGC's position on this is clear. Regarding the exchange of fire and the regime's attack on Kuwait Airport, he said that in the Middle East, a ceasefire means milder and more moderate attacks! On Lebanon, he said that in his view, the Hezbollah issue and negotiations with the I.R. are separate; whereas from the regime's perspective, they are not separate! ••• ••• ••• These negotiations, like the previous ones, are mostly proceeding with the aim of controlling the global market.
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Pouria Zeraati
31, May #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Israel officially announced today…

Important/ Israel officially announced today that it has taken control of areas in southern Lebanon for the security of its borders and the attacks will continue. Fox News wrote that Trump has added new conditions to the agreement's terms and the regime has not yet responded regarding them. The issue of controlling the Strait of Hormuz and the cash that the I.R. has requested remains a point of contention. Even in this interim agreement, there's a lot of talk and controversy, let alone a comprehensive one!
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Pouria Zeraati
28, May #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Contrary to the reports of...

Important/ Contrary to the reports of "Axios" and "Associated Press" which claim that Tehran has agreed to the terms of the temporary agreement and is awaiting Trump's decision, Israeli sources say that within the regime, despite the agreement between Araghchi and Wittkoff on the terms of the deal, Mojtaba has still not given final approval. Just minutes ago, for the the IRGC has issued "warning shots" toward four vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. At the same time, regime media reported that the sound of an explosion was heard in Hormozgan.
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Pouria Zeraati
27, May #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Israel's intense campaigns…

Important/ Israel's intense campaigns in the south and other areas of Lebanon continued this morning as well. In light of last night's phone conversation between Trump and Bibi, and the fact that the regime has raised halting attacks on Lebanon as a condition for a temporary agreement, this Israeli action could have two meanings: 1- Israel and America have diverted the I.R.'s request regarding Lebanon. 2- Or that the "temporary agreement" is close, and Israel wants to hit as many targets as possible in the remaining time. My take? The first one.
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Pouria Zeraati
25, May #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Trump is also pursuing the expansion…

Trump is also pursuing the expansion of the Abraham Accords after the deal with the regime. He has threatened the Arabs: "Negotiations with the Islamic Republic are going very well! Either we'll have a fantastic deal for everyone, or there'll be no deal at all and we'll go back to the battlefield and shooting, but this time bigger and more intense than ever. In conversations I had on Saturday with Mohammed bin Salman, Mohammed bin Zayed, Emir Tamim, Asim Munir, Erdogan, El-Sisi, King Abdullah of Jordan, and the King of Bahrain, I said that after all the work America has done to put together this complex puzzle, the least of it is that all these countries must sign the Abraham Accords simultaneously. This document must begin with the immediate signing of Saudi Arabia and Qatar, and the rest should follow suit. If they don't do this, they shouldn't be part of this deal [with the I.R.], because it shows they don't have good intentions. In talks I had with many of these leaders, they said that if our document is signed, it would be an honor for them if the Islamic Republic also becomes part of the Abraham Accords. Wow, that would really be something special!"
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Pouria Zeraati
24, May #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: He doesn't like being compared to Obama…

He doesn't like being compared to Obama :)) Trump's post: 'If I make a deal with the I.R., it will be a good and proper deal; not like Obama, who gave them a ton of cash and left a completely open path for them to get nuclear weapons. Our deal will be exactly the opposite of that, but no one has seen it yet or knows what it is. It hasn't even been finalized. So don't listen to the losers who criticize something they have no clue about. Unlike the people before me who should have solved this problem years ago, I won't make a bad deal!'
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Pouria Zeraati
23, May #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Trump's post…

Important/ Trump's post: 'Just now had a very good call with Mohammed bin Salman from Saudi Arabia, Mohammed bin Zayed from the UAE, Emir Tamim bin Hamad from Qatar, Qatar's Prime Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman, Minister Ali Al-Thawadi, Field Marshal Asim Munir from Pakistan, Recep Tayyip Erdogan from Turkey, Abdel Fattah el-Sisi from Egypt, King Abdullah II from Jordan, and the King of Bahrain; about the Islamic Republic and all matters related to a peace agreement. A large part of the deal has practically been negotiated and arranged, just needs to be finalized between the United States, the Islamic Republic, and the other countries I mentioned. Apart from that, I also had a call with Bibi Netanyahu that went very well. Now the details and final parts of the agreement are being reviewed and will be announced soon. One of the important parts of this agreement is that the Strait of Hormuz will be opened.'
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Pouria Zeraati
20, May #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: «New York Times» quoting U.S. officials…

«New York Times» quoting U.S. officials: On the first day of the war, the Israeli Air Force attacked Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's house. The goal was to somehow free him from 'house arrest' and, after eliminating Khamenei, position him to take control of the country. According to these officials, Israel, with U.S. knowledge, prepared a plan to bring Ahmadinejad to power after weakening the current regime, and this had been conveyed to him as well. But the attack didn't go as it should have. Ahmadinejad was accidentally wounded in that strike; an attack targeting a security post on the street where several IRGC members who had effectively taken him hostage were killed. Since the attack, no one has seen him publicly, and it's now unclear where he is or what his condition is. ••• ••• ••• In this regard/ Sources in Israel to me: Ahmadinejad is still under a form of house arrest, and even his communication with his family is controlled.
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Pouria Zeraati
06, May #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Bibi Netanyahu announced that the Israeli army…

Important/ Bibi Netanyahu announced that the Israeli army targeted the commander of the Radwan Unit in Hezbollah's forces 'in Beirut.' According to the Trump ceasefire, Beirut was supposed to be off-limits for Israeli attacks, and Bibi has violated that commitment. Why? Because the next round of attacks on the regime is approaching, and the Lebanon ceasefire doesn't matter for now.
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Pouria Zeraati
05, May #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Calm Before the Storm…

Calm Before the Storm/ Trump in response to the regime's savagery today: 'The IRI, during the ship relocation under Operation "Freedom," has fired upon several countries that have absolutely nothing to do with this matter, including a South Korean cargo ship. Maybe it's time for South Korea to join this mission too! We've taken out seven small boats so far—or "fast boats," as they call them. That's all you've got left. Aside from that South Korean ship, no damage has been inflicted so far on any other vessels passing through the strait. The Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, and the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, Dan Cain, have a press conference tomorrow morning.'
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Pouria Zeraati
04, May #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Calm Before the Storm…

Calm Before the Storm/ Trump in response to the regime's savagery today: 'The IRI, during the ship relocation under Operation "Freedom," has fired upon several countries that have absolutely nothing to do with this matter, including a South Korean cargo ship. Maybe it's time for South Korea to join this mission too! We've taken out seven small boats so far—or "fast boats," as they call them. That's all you've got left. Aside from that South Korean ship, no damage has been inflicted so far on any other vessels passing through the strait. The Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, and the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, Dan Cain, have a press conference tomorrow morning.'
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Pouria Zeraati
25, April #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Important/ It was predictable…

Important/ It was predictable; Trump has for now backed off from negotiations: 'I just canceled my representatives' trip to Islamabad to meet with the Iranians. Too much time would be spent on travel, there's a lot of work to do! On top of that, there's severe infighting and confusion within their "leadership." No one knows who's in charge, not even themselves. The winning cards are in our hands, they've got nothing! If they want to talk, the only thing they need to do is pick up the phone!'
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Pouria Zeraati
24, April #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: One point…

One point: Iraqchi's negotiations with Witkoff/Kushner are unlikely to lead anywhere. In Tehran, the decision-making system is locked up, and I heard from sources in Israel that Mojtaba either doesn't respond to messages or sends vague replies. Contacting him has become significantly harder than in previous days, which means the IRGC has control in hand. The fact that the IRGC's mouthpieces are saying Iraqchi isn't going to meet with the Americans in Pakistan is also indicative of this same state of uncertainty. These conditions will likely lead to the resumption of the next round of attacks aimed at [primarily] neutralizing countermeasures. The military transfers in recent days and the arrival of the USS George Bush in the CENTCOM command area show that the threat of attack isn't just a bluff...
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