Pouria Zeraati 15, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Trump after returning from China… Important/ Trump after returning from China: A "minor cleanup" in Iran is probably still needed. Sensitive days lie ahead. https://x.com/pouriazeraati/status/2055245696010265031?s=20
Pouria Zeraati 03, June #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Trump said that the regime's enriched… Important/ Trump said that the regime's enriched uranium must be transferred to America, and this will happen soon. A few days ago, he said that in exchange for this, there will be no concessions on sanctions. Mujtaba and the IRGC's position on this is clear. Regarding the exchange of fire and the regime's attack on Kuwait Airport, he said that in the Middle East, a ceasefire means milder and more moderate attacks! On Lebanon, he said that in his view, the Hezbollah issue and negotiations with the I.R. are separate; whereas from the regime's perspective, they are not separate! ••• ••• ••• These negotiations, like the previous ones, are mostly proceeding with the aim of controlling the global market.
Pouria Zeraati 01, June #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Trump announced that he had a… Important/ Trump announced that he had a "good conversation with Hezbollah through representatives" and they will stop their attacks, and Israel will not send forces to Beirut! In another post, he announced that negotiations with the regime are "proceeding with speed."
Pouria Zeraati 31, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Israel officially announced today… Important/ Israel officially announced today that it has taken control of areas in southern Lebanon for the security of its borders and the attacks will continue. Fox News wrote that Trump has added new conditions to the agreement's terms and the regime has not yet responded regarding them. The issue of controlling the Strait of Hormuz and the cash that the I.R. has requested remains a point of contention. Even in this interim agreement, there's a lot of talk and controversy, let alone a comprehensive one!
Pouria Zeraati 30, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Important/ The most important part of the agreement is… Important/ The most important part of the agreement is the immediate payment of 12 billion dollars from the blocked assets, as well as establishing a complete ceasefire in Lebanon; an issue that Trump has not yet accepted. The regime insists that until this amount is paid, it will not enter the next stage of negotiations - Fars
Pouria Zeraati 28, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Contrary to the reports of... Important/ Contrary to the reports of "Axios" and "Associated Press" which claim that Tehran has agreed to the terms of the temporary agreement and is awaiting Trump's decision, Israeli sources say that within the regime, despite the agreement between Araghchi and Wittkoff on the terms of the deal, Mojtaba has still not given final approval. Just minutes ago, for the the IRGC has issued "warning shots" toward four vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. At the same time, regime media reported that the sound of an explosion was heard in Hormozgan.
Pouria Zeraati 27, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Israel's intense campaigns… Important/ Israel's intense campaigns in the south and other areas of Lebanon continued this morning as well. In light of last night's phone conversation between Trump and Bibi, and the fact that the regime has raised halting attacks on Lebanon as a condition for a temporary agreement, this Israeli action could have two meanings: 1- Israel and America have diverted the I.R.'s request regarding Lebanon. 2- Or that the "temporary agreement" is close, and Israel wants to hit as many targets as possible in the remaining time. My take? The first one.
Pouria Zeraati 25, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Trump is also pursuing the expansion… Trump is also pursuing the expansion of the Abraham Accords after the deal with the regime. He has threatened the Arabs: "Negotiations with the Islamic Republic are going very well! Either we'll have a fantastic deal for everyone, or there'll be no deal at all and we'll go back to the battlefield and shooting, but this time bigger and more intense than ever. In conversations I had on Saturday with Mohammed bin Salman, Mohammed bin Zayed, Emir Tamim, Asim Munir, Erdogan, El-Sisi, King Abdullah of Jordan, and the King of Bahrain, I said that after all the work America has done to put together this complex puzzle, the least of it is that all these countries must sign the Abraham Accords simultaneously. This document must begin with the immediate signing of Saudi Arabia and Qatar, and the rest should follow suit. If they don't do this, they shouldn't be part of this deal [with the I.R.], because it shows they don't have good intentions. In talks I had with many of these leaders, they said that if our document is signed, it would be an honor for them if the Islamic Republic also becomes part of the Abraham Accords. Wow, that would really be something special!"
Pouria Zeraati 24, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: He doesn't like being compared to Obama… He doesn't like being compared to Obama :)) Trump's post: 'If I make a deal with the I.R., it will be a good and proper deal; not like Obama, who gave them a ton of cash and left a completely open path for them to get nuclear weapons. Our deal will be exactly the opposite of that, but no one has seen it yet or knows what it is. It hasn't even been finalized. So don't listen to the losers who criticize something they have no clue about. Unlike the people before me who should have solved this problem years ago, I won't make a bad deal!'
Pouria Zeraati 23, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Trump's post… Important/ Trump's post: 'Just now had a very good call with Mohammed bin Salman from Saudi Arabia, Mohammed bin Zayed from the UAE, Emir Tamim bin Hamad from Qatar, Qatar's Prime Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman, Minister Ali Al-Thawadi, Field Marshal Asim Munir from Pakistan, Recep Tayyip Erdogan from Turkey, Abdel Fattah el-Sisi from Egypt, King Abdullah II from Jordan, and the King of Bahrain; about the Islamic Republic and all matters related to a peace agreement. A large part of the deal has practically been negotiated and arranged, just needs to be finalized between the United States, the Islamic Republic, and the other countries I mentioned. Apart from that, I also had a call with Bibi Netanyahu that went very well. Now the details and final parts of the agreement are being reviewed and will be announced soon. One of the important parts of this agreement is that the Strait of Hormuz will be opened.'
Pouria Zeraati 21, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: The vibe of Trump's, Rubio's, and... A note: The vibe of Trump's, Rubio's, and even Vance's statements differs from the news that the media, especially Arab media, are trying to convey. On the American side, nothing is final. In Israel, the atmosphere is that the operation hasn't been canceled. In Tehran, still count on the clerics' bullshit. Mojtaba won't agree to the uranium withdrawal. Sensitive days lie ahead…
Pouria Zeraati 20, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: «New York Times» quoting U.S. officials… «New York Times» quoting U.S. officials: On the first day of the war, the Israeli Air Force attacked Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's house. The goal was to somehow free him from 'house arrest' and, after eliminating Khamenei, position him to take control of the country. According to these officials, Israel, with U.S. knowledge, prepared a plan to bring Ahmadinejad to power after weakening the current regime, and this had been conveyed to him as well. But the attack didn't go as it should have. Ahmadinejad was accidentally wounded in that strike; an attack targeting a security post on the street where several IRGC members who had effectively taken him hostage were killed. Since the attack, no one has seen him publicly, and it's now unclear where he is or what his condition is. ••• ••• ••• In this regard/ Sources in Israel to me: Ahmadinejad is still under a form of house arrest, and even his communication with his family is controlled.
Pouria Zeraati 14, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Simultaneously with the Trump-Xi… Important/ Simultaneously with the Trump-Xi meeting in Beijing, the IRGC Navy has stopped and seized a ship 38 nautical miles northeast of Fujairah, UAE, and now that ship is heading toward Iranian waters.
Pouria Zeraati 07, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Important// Fars News Agency confirmed... Important// Fars News Agency confirmed that the United States targeted parts of Qeshm tonight, and an "exchange of fire" took place between the regime and CENTCOM forces. It's unlikely this is the start of the second round of operations, and America's position was probably more defensive. The next round of operations will begin with a lot of surprises...
Pouria Zeraati 07, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Always count on the clerics... Always count on the clerics and the IRGC for idiocy: While the regime said it would respond to the American proposal today, Botox Sultan "Mohsen Rezaei" said the IRI has rejected this proposal and will continue resistance…
Pouria Zeraati 06, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Bibi Netanyahu announced that the Israeli army… Important/ Bibi Netanyahu announced that the Israeli army targeted the commander of the Radwan Unit in Hezbollah's forces 'in Beirut.' According to the Trump ceasefire, Beirut was supposed to be off-limits for Israeli attacks, and Bibi has violated that commitment. Why? Because the next round of attacks on the regime is approaching, and the Lebanon ceasefire doesn't matter for now.
Pouria Zeraati 06, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: A note/ Trump didn’t stop the “Freedom Project” … A note/ Trump didn’t stop the “Freedom Project” in the Strait of Hormuz for negotiations. The U.S. is preparing for the second round of attacks. Objective: Stripping away the regime’s leaders and strategic economic blows, for a surrender agreement.
Pouria Zeraati 05, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Calm Before the Storm… Calm Before the Storm/ Trump in response to the regime's savagery today: 'The IRI, during the ship relocation under Operation "Freedom," has fired upon several countries that have absolutely nothing to do with this matter, including a South Korean cargo ship. Maybe it's time for South Korea to join this mission too! We've taken out seven small boats so far—or "fast boats," as they call them. That's all you've got left. Aside from that South Korean ship, no damage has been inflicted so far on any other vessels passing through the strait. The Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, and the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, Dan Cain, have a press conference tomorrow morning.'
Pouria Zeraati 04, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Calm Before the Storm… Calm Before the Storm/ Trump in response to the regime's savagery today: 'The IRI, during the ship relocation under Operation "Freedom," has fired upon several countries that have absolutely nothing to do with this matter, including a South Korean cargo ship. Maybe it's time for South Korea to join this mission too! We've taken out seven small boats so far—or "fast boats," as they call them. That's all you've got left. Aside from that South Korean ship, no damage has been inflicted so far on any other vessels passing through the strait. The Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, and the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, Dan Cain, have a press conference tomorrow morning.'
Pouria Zeraati 03, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Crap News on Negotiations… Crap News on Negotiations: Discussions within the regime revolve around when the US and Israel will strike again, in Israel, the army, in cooperation with CENTCOM, is preparing for the second round of operations, and in Washington, Trump publicly stated an hour ago that the regime's latest proposal is nonsense. Sensitive days lie ahead.
Pouria Zeraati 02, May #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Important// In line with that 60-day deadline… Important// In line with that 60-day deadline: Trump has informed Congress that the war in Iran has ended; this means that if hostilities resume, the required 60-day countdown under the "War Powers Resolution" will start anew.
Pouria Zeraati 29, April #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: The text and photo that were published… The text and photo that were published give off a vibe of resuming attacks: 'The I.R. can't pull itself together. It doesn't know how to sign the agreement. It'd be better if it came to its senses very soon.' We'll probably soon witness the peeling away of regime officials.
Pouria Zeraati 25, April #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Important/ It was predictable… Important/ It was predictable; Trump has for now backed off from negotiations: 'I just canceled my representatives' trip to Islamabad to meet with the Iranians. Too much time would be spent on travel, there's a lot of work to do! On top of that, there's severe infighting and confusion within their "leadership." No one knows who's in charge, not even themselves. The winning cards are in our hands, they've got nothing! If they want to talk, the only thing they need to do is pick up the phone!'
Pouria Zeraati 24, April #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: One point… One point: Iraqchi's negotiations with Witkoff/Kushner are unlikely to lead anywhere. In Tehran, the decision-making system is locked up, and I heard from sources in Israel that Mojtaba either doesn't respond to messages or sends vague replies. Contacting him has become significantly harder than in previous days, which means the IRGC has control in hand. The fact that the IRGC's mouthpieces are saying Iraqchi isn't going to meet with the Americans in Pakistan is also indicative of this same state of uncertainty. These conditions will likely lead to the resumption of the next round of attacks aimed at [primarily] neutralizing countermeasures. The military transfers in recent days and the arrival of the USS George Bush in the CENTCOM command area show that the threat of attack isn't just a bluff...
Pouria Zeraati 23, April #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Trump, by posting a Washington Post... Important/ Trump, by posting a Washington Post columnist and Fox News analyst, has signaled that in the next round of attacks, those who oppose the agreement will be obliterated: "If there are two factions in the I.R. [Islamic Republic], one that wants the agreement and the other that doesn't, let's kill those who don't want the agreement."
Pouria Zeraati 23, April #WarSpillover Pouria Zeraati: Trump has written that he... Trump has written that he has ordered the U.S. Navy to target and destroy any boat that lays mines in the waters of the Strait of Hormuz. Trump has also said that American minesweeper vessels are currently engaged in clearing the strait and that their activities are set to increase even further.
Pouria Zeraati 20, April Pouria Zeraati: Trump confirmed that Vance… Trump confirmed that Vance and the negotiating team will be in Islamabad in a few hours. The IRI was supposed to go from the start anyway, it was just blustering to satisfy the hardliners that it's still unclear :)
Pouria Zeraati 19, April Pouria Zeraati: Experience… Experience: Neither should one trust Trump's "great and big day," nor the video of protests and war that he has posted. Trump is clearly after a deal, always has been. One should only count on the clerics' and IRGC's foolishness.