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Pouria Zeraati
19, April

Pouria Zeraati: Experience…

Experience: Neither should one trust Trump's "great and big day," nor the video of protests and war that he has posted. Trump is clearly after a deal, always has been. One should only count on the clerics' and IRGC's foolishness.
Pouria Zeraati: Experience…
https://x.com/pouriazeraati/status/2045767426780934387?s=20
Pouria Zeraati
25, April #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Important/ It was predictable…

Important/ It was predictable; Trump has for now backed off from negotiations: 'I just canceled my representatives' trip to Islamabad to meet with the Iranians. Too much time would be spent on travel, there's a lot of work to do! On top of that, there's severe infighting and confusion within their "leadership." No one knows who's in charge, not even themselves. The winning cards are in our hands, they've got nothing! If they want to talk, the only thing they need to do is pick up the phone!'
#WarSpillover
Pouria Zeraati
24, April #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: One point…

One point: Iraqchi's negotiations with Witkoff/Kushner are unlikely to lead anywhere. In Tehran, the decision-making system is locked up, and I heard from sources in Israel that Mojtaba either doesn't respond to messages or sends vague replies. Contacting him has become significantly harder than in previous days, which means the IRGC has control in hand. The fact that the IRGC's mouthpieces are saying Iraqchi isn't going to meet with the Americans in Pakistan is also indicative of this same state of uncertainty. These conditions will likely lead to the resumption of the next round of attacks aimed at [primarily] neutralizing countermeasures. The military transfers in recent days and the arrival of the USS George Bush in the CENTCOM command area show that the threat of attack isn't just a bluff...
#WarSpillover